Golden Globe Predictions

The 2010 Golden Globes are just a few days away, so I thought I would weigh in with my predictions.  Predicted winners are in bold.

Best Motion Picture – Drama:

  • Avatar
  • The Hurt Locker
  • Inglourious Basterds
  • Precious
  • Up in the Air

Comments: As a journalism minor I have learned that timeliness is key in news reporting.  This also applies to movie award shows.  That’s partially why Slumdog Millionaire did so well last year.  Everyone was down in the dumps due to the economy, so we needed a pick-me-up in the form of a feel-good movie.  That’s why I think it comes down the two “timely” choices.  I’m going to go with The Hurt Locker over Up in the Air simply because so many people have tried and failed to make a great modern war movie about the Middle East, and The Hurt Locker finally got it right.  Plus, I like it more.

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy:

  • (500) Days of Summer
  • It’s Complicated
  • The Hangover
  • Julie & Julia
  • Nine

Comments: Last year, a couple of overlooked movies from the earlier part of 2008 (In Bruges and Vicky Cristina Barcelona) swooped in and took some of the “Comedy/Musical” awards at the Globes.  (500) Days of Summer will be that film this year, especially with the disappointing critical reaction to the early favorite, Nine.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Drama:

  • Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart
  • George Clooney for Up in the Air
  • Colin Firth for A Single Man
  • Morgan Freeman for Invictus
  • Tobey Maguire for Brothers

Comments: Firth had the best performance of the year, but Bridges will most likely win.  He’s this year’s Kate Winslet in the “he/she is due, and their performance was pretty good so let’s give it to them” department.  I don’t even understand why Bridges is in the “Drama” category to begin with.  Joaquin Phoenix was in the “Comedy/Musical” category a few years ago when he won for Walk the Line, and Crazy Heart had just as many musical parts or performance scenes in it.  Some things we’ll never know… like who really did let the dogs out, for instance.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Drama:

  • Emily Blunt for The Young Victoria
  • Sandra Bullock for The Blind Side
  • Helen Mirren for The Last Station
  • Carey Mulligan for An Education
  • Gabourey Sibide for Precious

Comments: Mulligan should win this award hands down, but I think the voters will opt to go with the biggest star (Bullock) in a pretty weak category this year.  The Globes tend to favor star power in categories that might not have a clear-cut favorite.  I mean, Tom Cruise got nominated for Tropic Thunder last year.  Seriously.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Musical or Comedy:

  • Matt Damon for The Informant!
  • Daniel Day-Lewis for Nine
  • Robert Downey Jr. for Sherlock Holmes
  • Joseph Gordon-Levitt for (500) Days of Summer
  • Michael Stuhlbarg for A Serious Man

Comments: Day-Lewis seemed to have this one in the bag before Nine was released and the sour critical reaction ensued.  I don’t see them giving him the award for a movie that was so poorly received, so I think they will give it to the most deserving actor like they did with Colin Farrell last year.  Damon’s performance is one of the year’s best and they would probably like to award him for having such a great year overall.  I could see Downey winning as well, but I’m going to stick with Damon.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Musical or Comedy:

  • Sandra Bullock for The Proposal
  • Marion Cotillard for Nine
  • Julia Roberts for Duplicity
  • Meryl Streep for It’s Complicated
  • Meryl Streep for Julie & Julia

Comments:  Duh.  This one has won most of the critic’s awards so far, and is the current Oscar frontrunner.  I actually thought her performance in It’s Complicated was better, but oh well.  I’m still dumbfounded that Julia Roberts got a nomination.  See what I mean about the Globes favoring the big stars?  They probably nominated her just so they could get another huge celebrity to show up.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role:

  • Matt Damon for Invictus
  • Woody Harrelson for The Messengers
  • Christopher Plummer for The Last Station
  • Stanley Tucci for The Lovely Bones
  • Christoph Waltz for Inglourious Basterds

Comments:  This one is basically no contest, much like Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight) last year and Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men) the year before.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role:

  • Penelope Cruz for Nine
  • Vera Farmiga for Up in the Air
  • Anna Kendrick for Up in the Air
  • Mo’Nique for Precious
  • Julianne Moore for A Single Man

Comments:  Like Waltz, Mo’Nique pretty much has this one in the bag, and deservedly so.

Best Director:

  • Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker
  • James Cameron for Avatar
  • Clint Eastwood for Invictus
  • Jason Reitman for Up in the Air
  • Quentin Tarantino for Inglourious Basterds

Comments: It isn’t getting any acting awards, so it has to win something else besides “Best Picture-Drama.” I could see them giving it to Cameron, but I would like to see Bigelow take it.  She did a great job, crafting some of the more suspenseful and intricate action sequences of recent years.  Plus, she directed Point Break so she is due.

Best Screenplay:

  • District 9: Neil Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell
  • The Hurt Locker: Mark Boal
  • Inglourious Basterds: Quentin Tarantino
  • It’s Complicated: Nancy Meyers
  • Up in the Air: Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner

Comments: 6 nominations.  They have to give it something, right?

Best Original Song:

  • Avatar: “I See You”
  • Brothers: “Winter”
  • Crazy Heart: “The Weary Kind” (listen below)
  • Everybody’s Fine: “(I Want To) Come Home”
  • Nine: “Cinema Italiano”

Comments: I’m picking this because it is the best song in the bunch, and plays the most important role in its respective movie.  That’s my criteria.  I don’t know what the voters use to make their decisions.

Best Original Score:

  • Avatar
  • The Informant!
  • A Single Man
  • Up
  • Where the Wild Things Are

Comments: Why?  Because it sounded the best.

Best Animated Film:

  • Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
  • Coraline
  • Fantastic Mr. Fox
  • The Princess and the Frog
  • Up

Comments:  It was one of the best, and most beloved films of the year.  The only other one that stands a chance is Fox, but I would be shocked if it won.

Best Foreign Language Film:

  • Broken Embraces
  • Baaria
  • The White Ribbon
  • The Maid
  • A Prophet

Comments: I haven’t seen any of these choices yet, but I’m saying it’s a coin toss between A Prophet and The White Ribbon.  I’m picking The Prophet because it has a better trailer, and the opening quote in the trailer states “more epic than The Godfather.”  That takes spunk, and I admire that.

I don’t know shit about TV shows, so I’m going to stop here.  Maybe one of my loyal readers could help me out with the TV choices?

Do you agree with my choices?  Let me know what your predictions are.

One Response to “Golden Globe Predictions”
  1. Peyton says:

    3 things. One difference of opinion. Inglourious Basterds will win screenplay. One toss-up. The Hangover might win Best comedy, long shot on Nine, but I’m going (500) Days of Summer as well. And, it doesn’t take spunk to say a movie is more epic than The Godfather, it takes a shit ton of exaggeration and ignorance.

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